In the electoral poll released this Sunday (18) by The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos, the Democrat Kamala Harris appears ahead of Republican Donald Trump in the race for the US presidency. The margin of error is 2.5%.
The United States elections take place on November 5 of this year. The current vice president, who took over as the Democratic Party candidate after Biden’s withdrawal, appears with 49% of voting intentions in the direct dispute scenario. Meanwhile, Trump has 45%.
Scenario with three candidates
According to the survey, a simulated scenario with a third candidate shows that Kamala would appear 3 percentage points ahead of Trump.
In the scenario in which Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the third candidate, Kamala Harris leads with 47%, while Donald Trump has 44% and Kennedy Jr., 5%. At the beginning of July, with Joe Biden in place of Harris, the situation was different: Trump had 43%, Biden 42% and Kennedy 9%.
Harris’ three-percentage-point lead, in a race that features other candidates, is slightly smaller than Biden’s 4.5 percentage point margin in the 2020 election, which secured him victory in the race.
According to the most recent poll by The New York Times, Harris remains ahead, with a 3 percentage point lead over Trump, getting 49% against 47% for the former president.
According to US newspapers, the election will be close, and the decision could rest with the states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
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